Finland vs Albania Prediction & Preview - UEFA Nations League
Albania have taken six points from their last two UEFA Nations League matches; Finland have taken four from the same pair of opponents. Both numbers come from facing San Marino and Belarus in the space of a week, which makes the gap between them the clearest form read available before Saturday's meeting.
- Fixture: Finland vs Albania
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Saturday, 3 October 2026
- Kick-off: 14:00 BST
Albania's six points from two games
Albania go into this one on the back of back-to-back wins. They beat San Marino 3-0 on 29 September and beat Belarus 2-0 three days before that, both in the UEFA Nations League. That run follows four straight defeats earlier in the year: 2-1 away to Poland in March World Cup qualifying, 1-0 away to Ukraine in a March friendly, then 0-1 at home to Israel and 0-1 at home to Luxembourg, both in June. Six points from two games is Albania's best spell of 2026 so far.
Finland's win was big, the draw wasn't
Finland's Nations League form reads differently. They beat San Marino 7-0 on 26 September, then drew 0-0 with Belarus three days later. One scoreline points to a team scoring freely, the other to a team that couldn't find a goal at all. Before that, Finland lost 4-0 to Germany on 31 May and 2-1 to Hungary on 5 June, both friendlies. In March they beat New Zealand 2-0 and drew 1-1 with Cabo Verde in the FIFA Series.
Points say Albania, goals say Finland
Line the two group runs up and the picture splits. Albania have six points from their two games, Finland have four. On goals it flips: a 7-0 followed by a 0-0 gives Finland a goal difference of plus seven from those two matches, while Albania's 3-0 and 2-0 give them plus five. Albania have won more often. Finland have scored more freely when they've scored at all.
Where the two runs meet on Saturday
Finland and Albania play the next round of the same group that produced those four results against San Marino and Belarus. A win for either side moves them clear of the other on points from this block of fixtures, and a side that avoids defeat holds on to the goal difference it built against the group's weaker teams. Full match details, including team news as it's confirmed, are on the Finland vs Albania match page.
Finland vs Albania prediction
Albania should get the better of Finland in Saturday's UEFA Nations League meeting. Albania are unbeaten in their last two group games, scoring five without conceding, while Finland have just one win and a draw from the same two opponents and lost their last two friendlies against stronger sides, 4-0 to Germany and 2-1 to Hungary. Albania's run and Finland's recent record against better opposition point to a narrow away win.
Our prediction: Finland 1-2 Albania
Make your prediction
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