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Joel Pohjanpalo
Albania have taken six points from their last two UEFA Nations League matches; Finland have taken four from the same pair of opponents. Both numbers come from facing San Marino and Belarus in the space of a week, which makes the gap between them the clearest form read available before Saturday's meeting.
Albania go into this one on the back of back-to-back wins. They beat San Marino 3-0 on 29 September and beat Belarus 2-0 three days before that, both in the UEFA Nations League. That run follows four straight defeats earlier in the year: 2-1 away to Poland in March World Cup qualifying, 1-0 away to Ukraine in a March friendly, then 0-1 at home to Israel and 0-1 at home to Luxembourg, both in June. Six points from two games is Albania's best spell of 2026 so far.
Finland's Nations League form reads differently. They beat San Marino 7-0 on 26 September, then drew 0-0 with Belarus three days later. One scoreline points to a team scoring freely, the other to a team that couldn't find a goal at all. Before that, Finland lost 4-0 to Germany on 31 May and 2-1 to Hungary on 5 June, both friendlies. In March they beat New Zealand 2-0 and drew 1-1 with Cabo Verde in the FIFA Series.
Line the two group runs up and the picture splits. Albania have six points from their two games, Finland have four. On goals it flips: a 7-0 followed by a 0-0 gives Finland a goal difference of plus seven from those two matches, while Albania's 3-0 and 2-0 give them plus five. Albania have won more often. Finland have scored more freely when they've scored at all.
Finland
Albania