AS Monaco vs Lille Prediction & Preview - Ligue 1
Two goals or more in five of their last six: that is where AS Monaco arrive for Sunday's Ligue 1 meeting with Lille, who have managed the same in two of six and conceded 11 across the set. Monaco have scored 11 and conceded 5 over the same stretch. The two numbers point the same way, which is the simplest case for a home win you will find in this round.
Whether the rest of the form backs it up is a different question.
What time is AS Monaco vs Lille kick-off?
AS Monaco v Lille kicks off at 14:00 GMT on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at the Stade Louis II in Monaco, in Ligue 1. Filipe Luis manages Monaco, Davide Ancelotti manages Lille.
- Fixture: AS Monaco v Lille
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: Sunday, 25 October 2026
- Kick-off: 14:00 GMT
- Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco
- Match page: AS Monaco vs Lille predictions
Does Monaco's scoring run survive a closer look?
Mostly, yes. Four wins, one draw and one defeat from six gives Monaco 13 points, and four of those six games produced three goals or more in total. They put three past SC Freiburg at home on 22 October in the UEFA Conference League without reply, and they beat RC Lens 2-1 at home back on 18 September.
The caveat is the one match in six where they failed to score. Monaco lost 0-1 away to Lorient seven days before this fixture, and that is the shape of the problem: at home they have won 3 of 4, away only 1 of 2. This is a home game, so the better half of that split applies.
They are not airtight. Monaco have kept 2 clean sheets in six but both sides scored in 3 of them, including the 2-2 draw with Toulouse at the Stade Louis II on 10 October.
Lille have been leaking goals
Seven points from six matches, two wins, three defeats, and 11 conceded against 7 scored. Lille lost 2-4 at home to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League four days before this trip, which came after a 0-3 defeat away to Arsenal on 13 October. They have conceded two or more in 3 of their last 6.
Away from home the record is bare: 0 wins from 2. The last Ligue 1 result before this one was a 1-1 home draw with Stade Brestois on 17 October.
The last meeting at the Stade Louis II
Lille won it. Monaco lost 0-1 at home to Lille on 10 May 2026 in Ligue 1, 168 days before Sunday's rematch, and it is the one piece of evidence that cuts against everything above. Lille's defending has been poor since, but they have been to this ground and kept a clean sheet in it.
Team news
Monaco are without Eric Dier, who has a thigh problem, while winger Stanis Idumbo is a doubt with a back injury, and Paris Brunner is available again having served a two-match suspension, per Sports Mole and The Stats Zone. Lille have a longer list: Hamza Igamane is out with a cruciate ligament tear, Tiago Santos is sidelined, striker Ayase Ueda has a foot injury, and Osame Sahraoui and Ethan Mbappe Lottin are both doubts, according to the same Sports Mole preview.
AS Monaco vs Lille prediction
AS Monaco should beat Lille in Ligue 1 at the Stade Louis II on Sunday, 25 October 2026, and our prediction is 2-1 to the home side. Monaco have scored two or more in five of their last six and have won 3 of 4 at home, while Lille have taken 7 points from six matches and have not won either of their last two away games.
Lille should score. Both sides scored in 4 of Lille's last 6 and in 3 of Monaco's, and Olivier Giroud is still converting. But a defence that has conceded 11 in six is the thing that decides this.
Our prediction: AS Monaco 2-1 Lille
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