AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Preview - Serie A
Serie A brings AC Milan and Atalanta together at San Siro on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 BST. Both clubs have nine points from their last six matches, collected in opposite ways. Ruben Amorim's Milan have drawn three of those six and lost one. Maurizio Sarri's Atalanta have not drawn any of them.
- Fixture: AC Milan vs Atalanta
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Sunday 18 October 2026
- Kick-off: 17:00 BST
- Venue: San Siro, Milan
- Match page: AC Milan vs Atalanta predictions
AC Milan team news and form
AC Milan drew 1-1 away to Sassuolo 7 days before this fixture, their third draw in a six-match run of two wins, three draws and one defeat: nine points, nine scored, six conceded. The only loss came at home, 0-2 to Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on 16 September 2026. At home in Serie A it has been tidier, 3-0 against Lecce and 2-0 against Venezia, neither conceding.
Amorim's defence is the problem. Matteo Gabbia suffered a thigh flexor injury with partial tendon involvement against Sassuolo and is not expected back before 2027, and Alexis Saelemaekers has had ankle surgery with a layoff of around four months, per Eurosport. Amorim said he felt for Gabbia, who had worked his way back into the side, in his post-Sassuolo comments (Yahoo Sports). Samuel Chukwueze has been dealing with muscle fatigue (Milan Reports).
Atalanta team news and form
Atalanta won 3-1 at home to Venezia 6 days before this match, which ended a run of three straight defeats: 0-2 away to Juventus, 1-2 at home to Cagliari, 1-2 away to AS Roma. Their last six is three wins and three losses, no draws, nine points, scored seven and conceded seven. Both Serie A away trips in that stretch were lost.
The Venezia win came at a cost. Eljif Elmas had a late booking upgraded to a red card after a VAR review and is suspended for Sunday, while Raoul Bellanova and Giorgio Scalvini were both withdrawn in the 67th minute with muscle problems (Yahoo Sports). Sarri said Scalvini's injury was not serious but that he would probably miss Milan (Yahoo Sports). Odilon Kossounou is out for at least four to six weeks with a femoral biceps lesion (LiveScore).
AC Milan vs Atalanta head-to-head and what settles it
Milan have not beaten Atalanta in Serie A since 26 February 2023, when they won 2-0 at San Siro (ESPN). That is the hole in the home side's case, and it is a real one.
Everything else points the other way. Atalanta have lost both of their recent Serie A away matches, they have no draws in them to fall back on, and they come to Milan missing a suspended midfielder and at least one centre-back.
AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction
Our prediction is that AC Milan beat Atalanta 2-1 in Serie A at San Siro on Sunday 18 October 2026. Milan's two home league wins in this run were both clean sheets, and Atalanta's defensive absences make a repeat of their flat 0-2 at Juventus more likely than the sharpness they showed against Venezia. Atalanta's record against Milan says they will score. Their recent travelling says they will lose anyway.
Our prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Atalanta
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Call your own scoreline for AC Milan vs Atalanta on the match page before 17:00 BST on Sunday. CalledItMate is a free football prediction game with nothing to deposit, and accurate calls climb the weekly leaderboard, which resets every week along with the cash prizes. How to play explains the scoring, and the rest of the weekend's fixtures are on the live match list.