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Lewis Dobbin
Whether Southampton's tightened defence or Bolton Wanderers' habit of turning matches into shootouts wins out at St Mary's Stadium is what Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers actually comes down to. Southampton have conceded two or more goals in 1 of their last 6 Championship matches. Bolton have done it in 4 of theirs, and 5 of their last 6 games have produced three goals or more.
Both sides have scored 11 goals across those six matches. Southampton have conceded 5. Bolton have conceded 13.
Southampton v Bolton Wanderers kicks off at 15:00 BST on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at St Mary's Stadium in Southampton, in the Championship. Full details and a place to make your call are on the Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers match page.
Southampton have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 Championship matches, taking 13 points, and they have won all 3 of their home games in that run while keeping 2 clean sheets.
The last two wins were both 1-0, away to Norwich City 3 days before this match and at home to Portsmouth 6 days before it. That is a different Southampton from the one that beat Bristol City 4-1 and Swansea City 3-1 at St Mary's in September. They have scored two or more in only 2 of 6, yet they have not failed to score once.
Their soft spots are both away from home: a 1-2 defeat at Wrexham and a 1-1 draw at Lincoln City. On the road they've won 1 of 3. At St Mary's they have won the lot.
Southampton
Bolton Wanderers