Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction & Preview
Bosnia & Herzegovina put five goals past both Wales and Italy inside five days in March - then scored only six more across their next six matches combined. That swing in form sits behind Friday's UEFA Nations League opener between Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina at PGE Narodowy in Warsaw, kicking off at 19:45 BST.
- Fixture: Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Competition: UEFA Nations League, Group H
- Date: Friday, 25 September 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 BST
- Venue: PGE Narodowy, Warsaw
Full details and the match page are at Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Bosnia's five-goal habit
Bosnia & Herzegovina won 5-3 away at Wales in World Cup qualifying on 26 March 2026, then followed it five days later with a 5-2 win over Italy at home. Ten goals in two matches pointed to a team playing with real freedom in attack.
It didn't last. Since that win over Italy, Bosnia & Herzegovina have drawn 0-0 with North Macedonia, 1-1 with Panama and 1-1 with Canada, lost 4-1 to Switzerland, beaten Qatar 3-1 and lost 2-0 to the United States to exit the World Cup. Six goals in six games is a different team to the one that scored ten in a week.
Poland stuck without a win
Poland's own recent record offers little more certainty. They beat Albania 2-1 on 26 March 2026, then lost 3-2 away to Sweden five days later, lost 0-2 at home to Ukraine on 31 May and drew 2-2 with Nigeria on 3 June. One win in four, and none in the last three.
Poland's record over Bosnia & Herzegovina
Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina last met in the 2020-21 Nations League, when Poland won both group games. Across four previous meetings between the two, Poland have never lost to Bosnia & Herzegovina. It's a run that gives Friday's game some history, even if neither side's current form points obviously to a repeat.
Team news: Drągowski out, Džeko's farewell nears
Poland go into the match without goalkeeper Bartłomiej Drągowski, left out of the squad through injury. Bosnia & Herzegovina head coach Sergej Barbarez has recalled captain Edin Džeko, who is playing out his final international appearances before retiring after the visit of Sweden on 2 October.
Group H and life outside League A
Both countries were relegated from League A of the Nations League last time out, and this is the opening game of their Group H campaign - Bosnia & Herzegovina face Romania three days later. Friday's match marks the start of life in the competition's second tier for both.
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction
Poland should have enough at home to beat Bosnia & Herzegovina in this UEFA Nations League Group H opener, though not comfortably. Bosnia's attack has gone quiet since their March goal rush, managing six in six, while their defence has conceded in six of their last eight matches - a combination Poland's home record against them should be able to exploit even in patchy form of their own.
Our prediction: Poland 2-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
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