Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Preview - Premier League
Aston Villa have scored 18 goals in their last six matches. Newcastle United have scored nine and conceded 11, and were beaten 1-4 at Coventry City five days before this one. The two meet in the Premier League at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, on Saturday, 17 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 BST.
- Fixture: Newcastle United v Aston Villa
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: Saturday, 17 October 2026
- Kick-off: 17:30 BST
- Venue: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Match page: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
How Newcastle United have been playing
Ten points from their last six, won 3, drawn 1, lost 2. The two defeats were both away and both by the same score: 1-4 at Leeds United 33 days before this fixture, and 1-4 at Coventry City five days before it. Only one match fell between them, a 2-1 home win over Hull City.
The rest of the run is better than those two afternoons suggest. Newcastle won 2-0 at Tottenham Hotspur 49 days out and 1-0 at Millwall in the EFL Cup 39 days out, which are their two clean sheets in six. They have not failed to score in any of the six.
What they have not done is defend consistently. Conceded two or more in 3 of 6. At home it reads won 1 of 2, the Hull win alongside a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth.
Aston Villa's run, and where the goals have come from
Thirteen points from six, with 18 scored and 8 conceded, and a 6-0 win over Fenerbahçe at Villa Park in the UEFA Champions League three days before this match.
Villa have won 3 of 3 away: 3-1 at Coventry City in the EFL Cup 31 days out, 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur 28 days out, and 3-1 at Sevilla in a friendly 15 days out. Home has been the awkward end. One win from three there, with a 1-2 defeat by Nottingham Forest 35 days before this fixture and a 2-2 draw with Brentford seven days before it, both at Villa Park, before the Fenerbahçe night.
They have scored two or more in 5 of 6. They have also conceded two or more in 3 of 6, so this is not a side keeping things quiet.
Common ground in the two form lines
Both won at Tottenham Hotspur inside the last seven weeks, Newcastle 2-0 and Villa 3-2. Both have been to Coventry City, which is where the records part company sharply: Villa won 3-1 there, Newcastle lost 1-4.
The clearer pattern is goals. Every one of Villa's last six matches has produced three or more, and four of Newcastle's six have. Both sides scored in 5 of Villa's and 4 of Newcastle's. If you are going to predict football scores on this one, a 0-0 is not where the form points.
Team news for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
Newcastle have no suspensions. Bazoumana Toure is a major doubt with an ankle injury picked up against Coventry, and Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey are both major doubts with thigh problems, though the club are hopeful Elanga makes the squad. Valentino Livramento is out with a thigh injury and Ewen Jaouen is out for around two months with a hamstring injury, per Sports Mole. Manager Matthias Jaissle said before the Coventry game that Joelinton was back in training and Nico Gonzalez had cleared concussion protocols, telling The Mag he needed to be "smart in our load management".
Villa are also without suspensions. Amadou Onana is out after rupturing an anterior cruciate ligament at the 2026 World Cup with Belgium, Matteo Ruggeri is out with a thigh injury and Ian Maatsen's ankle problem may keep him out until the end of October. George Hemmings (knee) and Modou Keba Cisse (groin) are major doubts and Brian Madjo a minor one, according to Sports Mole.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction
Our prediction for the Premier League match at St James' Park is a 1-2 Aston Villa win over Newcastle United on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Villa have won all three of their away matches in this run and scored at least two goals in five of their last six, and Newcastle have conceded two or more in half of theirs.
The caveat is Villa's own back line, which has shipped two or more in 3 of 6, and Newcastle have scored in every one of their last six. So goals at both ends, with the visitors taking it.
Our prediction: Newcastle United 1-2 Aston Villa
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