Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Preview - UEFA Nations League
Greece and Netherlands meet in the UEFA Nations League on matchday three, with both sides unbeaten after two rounds in a group that also features Germany and Serbia. It is the first meeting of the group's two form teams, and the winner will take a firm grip on top spot.
- Fixture: Greece v Netherlands
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Thursday, 1 October 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 BST
Where the group stands after two rounds
Greece go into matchday three top of the group on six points from two wins, with Netherlands second on four after a win and a draw. Greece beat Serbia 2-1 at home on 24 September, then won away at Germany 1-0 three days later. Netherlands drew 1-1 with Germany at home on 24 September before beating Serbia 2-1 away on 27 September. Both results put Greece a point above where a straightforward home draw would have left them, and Netherlands a step behind having dropped points to Germany.
Greece's form and team news
Greece arrive unbeaten in their last two competitive outings and have taken results off both Germany and Serbia inside a week. Ahead of the Netherlands game, Sotiris Kontouris and Giannis Konstantelias are the only fitness doubts in the squad, with the rest of the group otherwise available. Outside the Nations League, Greece's most recent form included a 2-2 draw with Sweden and a 1-0 defeat to Italy, both friendlies in June.
Netherlands' team news
Netherlands go into the match without several first-team regulars. Cody Gakpo has withdrawn from the squad with an ankle injury, Brian Brobbey is out injured, and Frenkie de Jong, Mats Wieffer and Donyell Malen are also unavailable. That leaves Ronald Koeman short in both midfield and attack for a game his side need to win to keep pace with Greece at the top of the group.
Wider form heading into the game
Netherlands' September form follows a mixed run through the summer: a 5-1 win over Sweden and wins against Tunisia and Uzbekistan sat alongside defeats to Morocco and Algeria and a draw with Japan. Greece's two Nations League wins are their best back-to-back results of the year so far, coming after a June spell that produced one win from three.
Greece vs Netherlands prediction
Greece should edge Netherlands in this UEFA Nations League meeting on 1 October 2026. Greece are unbeaten in the group, have won both matches so far and go into the game with a near-full squad, while Netherlands are missing five first-team players including Gakpo, de Jong and Wieffer. Netherlands showed enough to beat Serbia away, but Greece's form and the scale of the Dutch absences point to a narrow home win.
Our prediction: Greece 2-1 Netherlands
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